
I had a reasonable round last weekend, picking Georgia to beat Samoa and Scotland to beat Argentina, but I didn’t see Italy winning, and I thought France would beat Australia.
This week on SuperBru has already started badly as I did not expect the French Barbarians to beat the Australia XV last night! But let’s hope I get all of these right…
Canada v Samoa
What a tricky one to start with! Samoa has been poor so far, and I didn’t see much of the Ireland v Canada game, but I’m going for a home win (Edit: Canada win, the game is being played in France, thanks to Shane for pointing that out), despite the bookies backing Samoa. Canada by 2.
Italy v Tonga
What a great win for the Azzurri last weekend, and a confidence-booster for Conor O’Shea’s men regardless of the limitations of the opposition. Tonga beat USA last weekend, but I fancy Italy to back up their performance. Italy by 6.
Japan v Fiji
This could be a cracker of a match! Fiji have underperformed so far this Autumn, whilst Japan nearly claimed the Welsh scalp, and this match feels like it could go either way. Fiji have had the better of this fixture over the years, so I’m picking them for a narrow win. Fiji by 2.
England v Argentina
I think England’s winning streak will continue this weekend. They don’t look like losing at the moment, and despite leaking a few tries, they haven’t really looked vulnerable during this series. Eddie Jones has freshened things up with a few more changes, without disrupting the spine of the team, and England just seems to be getting better and better.
Meanwhile Argentina has dropped Facundo Isa, Nicolas Sanchez and Martin Landajo, three of the best players. I do wonder if Daniel Hourcade is trying to remain unpredictable, conscious that Jones and his team will have meticulously prepared for every threat, and knowing that the Pumas’ brand of chaotic, fast-paced Rugby is their best chance of a win.
I’m backing England to cope with whatever Argentina can throw at them. England by 23.
Scotland v Georgia
This should be a straightforward win for the Scots, as long as they don’t underestimate their opposition having been focused on Australia and Argentina. Scotland by 16.
Ireland v Australia
Having finally vanquished the All Blacks, Ireland needs to backup that win and regularly beat the top sides in the world. Their efforts against New Zealand have taken their toll with injuries, but I don’t think Joe Schmidt will allow them to settle for just that famous win in Chicago and a thrashing of Canada as a successful campaign.
The Wallabies remain unbeaten this Autumn, but are still vulnerable, and if Ireland play with such relentless power and pace, they can put to bed any dreams of an Aussie Grand Slam. Ireland by 5.
Wales v South Africa
There doesn’t seem to be an option to pick both teams to lose, so I’m going to have to stick my neck out. Allister Coetzee has finally made some changes to the Bok side, with 3 debutants in the lineup, and the team now consists of the spine of the Lions franchise – Super Rugby finalists this year.
There is a lot of soul-searching in South African rugby at the moment after their humiliating defeat to Italy. There’s quite a lot of soul-searching in Wales too, with Warren Gatland absent and Rob Howley left with a gameplan that hasn’t evolved.
I suspect the Welsh will have more desire to win. Coetzee may be lacking in credibility with his squad, the players will be keen to get home, and nobody would ever say it, but deep down they might just feel that a defeat wouldn’t be the end of the world if it brings about regime change. Wales by 4.
France v New Zealand
France seems to be much improved, but still couldn’t quite get the job done against a largely second-choice Australia team last weekend. New Zealand by 23.
Let me know what you think of these predictions – are there any you disagree with?
Follow Hutch on Twitter: @Hutch_James
Photo by: Patrick Khachfe / Onside Images
You gonna stick with these this week Hutch or are going to come back and edit them at a later date after i have posted mine like last week ;-)
What is this you are accusing me of?!
Last week you had Argentina to win but then you swapped it after I posted this
SCOTLAND to beat Argentina by 2 – Scotland are going to close out a big game out sooner or later.
This is what I wrote in the original article – ‘It will be interesting to see how Scotland respond to another near miss against Australia. They should take heart from the performance, and I think a similar effort against the Pumas would see them home. Scotland by 2.’
Mine
CANADA to beat Samoa by 2
ITALY to beat Tonga by 5
FIJI to beat Japan by 12
ENGLAND to beat Argentina by 28
SCOTLAND to beat Georgia by 17
IRELAND to beat Australia by 3
WALES to beat South Africa by 9
NEW ZEALAND to beat France by 23
Hutch
CANADA to beat Samoa by 2
ITALY to beat Tonga by 6
FIJI to beat Japan by 2
ENGLAND to beat Argentina by 23
SCOTLAND to beat Georgia by 16
IRELAND to beat Australia by 5
WALES to beat South Africa by 4
NEW ZEALAND to beat France by 23
Eerily close this week only 24 points differene in total, I’ve gone for a bigger margin on a couple of games but all same winners. I made all my picks yesterday BTW
Very similar picks! Here’s hoping we have a good week…
What is this about 23 point margins, I honestly put mine on superbru yesterday evening and have both England and NZ to win by 23 as well….. elsewhere it tends to differ somewhat though, Samoa by 5, Japan by 5, Australia by 3 (although this may explain why I’m langushing in mid-table mediocrity in the superbru league…
Haha pats on the back all round if NZ win by 23…
Interesting that you’ve gone for Australia – tell me more about your thinking? The other two are 50/50 games.
I have visions of us all screaming at the telly when in the final minute of play NZ are winning by 20, get awarded a kickable penalty and chose to go to the corner
Haha indeed. Or it’s bang on 23 points for the last quarter, until one more 7-point try to the Kiwis in the final minute, which has no material impact on anything except our SuperBru points.
Thinking is that I am currently 193rd in the table and that I reckon is the most likely upset and therefore good points, in reality is more likley that you guys are right, however, with not much to lose thought it worth a punt…
Pretty embarrassing that you didn’t realise Canada-Samoa is being played in France, i.e. not a home game for Canada
Ah sorry. I actually noticed that on SuperBru and considered it in my pick, and then forgot about it again. Not embarrassing, just a mistake, apologies.
To be fair Canada are the “designated” home team. I think it counts as a home fixture in terms of the rankings
The Ireland, Australia match is probably the toughest to call. I fully expect it to be a battle of the breakdown.
Hooper and Pocock are great but if you clear out aggressively (which Ireland are good at) then their opportunities to poach are limited and their lack of ball carrying more obvious. Haskell and Robshaw outshone them in the summer for the same reason so that’s why I have gone for a narrow Ireland win
I would by and large agree although I have Japan by a narrow margin .
I’d love to see Ireland beat the ozzies, but I have a feeling they’ll edge it in the dying moments. :/