Although anything can happen, surely what this means is that the teams that qualify are hoping to be against the least secure automatically qualified teams (in this case, perhaps Italy and Georgia?) who they can target as being able to beat and secure that 3rd place.
In terms of this draw, this leaves something really interesting in terms of Pools C and D and the Americas qualification: after all, if you offered Canada, and USA (probably Americas 1 and 2) either Pool C or Pool D in terms of the automatically qualified teams they’d almost certainly take Pool D as they would see themselves as having far more chance of beating Georgia to 3rd than Argentina, England or France. Does that therefore mean that they will try to qualify as “Americas 2” rather than “Americas 1”? That’s an interesting possibility as I’m sure it’ll be in the back of their heads as they play the qualifying matches that they don’t particularly want to be “Americas 1”? In the same way the play-off or repechage winner would probably have a better chance against Scotland, Japan or Italy than against any of the pool C top 3?
]]>They have never lost to Argentina to date and France aren’t that great, I would expect the group to be rounded off by The USA and Samoa so qualification for the second round is all but assured in my eyes.
]]>The repechage is between Oceania Cup winner or Asian Championship winner, playoff looser, Africa 2, Americas 3.
]]>